报告预测2023年天然气消费量将达历史新高

来源:中国石化新闻网    

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中国石化新闻网讯 据油气新闻网5月10日报道,据最新的年度天然气市场报告称,2022年全球天然气消费量下降,但预计2023年将恢复增长,达到历史最高水平。

据报告称,发电行业仍将是最大的天然气消费者,预计美国、中国和亚太地区的一些新兴国家将在2023年推动全球天然气消费的增长。

该报告的第四版是由天然气出口国论坛(GECF)委托编写的,对天然气市场进行了深入分析,涵盖了最近的发展,并提供了2023—2024年的前景。

GECF秘书长Eng Mohamed Hamel表示,“年度天然气市场报告是全面的,我希望它将成为任何对天然气感兴趣的人的必备工具”。

该报告称,2022年油气投资同比增长7%,达到7180亿美元,预计2023年将进一步增长,但迫在眉睫的不确定性可能会阻碍投资。

该报告的其他主要发现包括,欧洲和亚洲的现货天然气和液化天然气价格在2022年达到创纪录高位,全年波动很大。这主要是由于欧洲的液化天然气需求激增,以取代较低的管道天然气进口,导致液化天然气市场紧张。

该报告称,2022年能源安全问题优先于减缓气候变化的目标,决策者将重点放在满足人民的能源需求上。该报告还表示,CCS/CCUS和氢气作为脱碳的潜在途径已经获得了发展势头,宣布的产能显著增加。然而,已达到FID阶段的项目数量仍远未达到要求的规模。

该出版物出版之际,天然气市场正在经历物理流动、投资、贸易和市场功能方面的根本性转变。

Hamel补充称,天然气行业的发展表明了全球天然气行业扩张的光明前景,因为天然气将在社会经济发展和实现公正和包容性的能源转型中发挥关键作用。

郝芬 译自 油气新闻网

原文如下:

Gas consumption to reach all-time high in 2023

Global gas consumption declined in 2022, but is expected to resume growth in 2023 and reach an all-time high level, says the latest Annual Gas Market Report.

It said the power generation sector would remain the largest consumer of gas, with the US, China, and some emerging countries in Asia Pacific forecasted to drive the growth of global gas consumption in 2023.

The 4th edition of the report was commissioned by the Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF) and provides an in-depth analysis of natural gas markets, covering recent developments and providing prospects for 2023-2024.

According to Eng Mohamed Hamel, Secretary General of the GECF: "The Annual Gas Market Report is comprehensive and I hope it will become an essential tool for anyone interested in natural gas."

The report said oil and gas investment increased by 7 per cent y-o-y to reach $718 billion in 2022, and was expected to rise further in 2023, but looming uncertainties may deter investment.

Other key findings of the report include spot gas and LNG prices in Europe and Asia reaching record highs in 2022, with significant volatility throughout the year. This was mainly due to a tight LNG market as Europe's LNG demand surged to replace lower pipeline gas imports.

The report said energy security concerns took precedence over climate change mitigation goals in 2022, with policymakers focusing on meeting the energy needs of their people.

It also said CCS/CCUS and hydrogen have gained momentum as potential pathways for decarbonisation, with a significant increase in the announced capacity. However, the number of projects that have reached the FID stage is still far from the required scale.

The publication comes at a time when natural gas markets are undergoing fundamental transformations in terms of physical flows, investment, trade, and market functioning.

"The developments in the gas industry are an indication of the bright prospects for the expansion of the global gas industry, as natural gas is set to play a pivotal role in socio-economic development and towards just and inclusive energy transitions," added Hamel.


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